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Objective Drought Tendency Forecast

Associated Agencies

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC)

The Objective Drought Tendency Forecast is an integrated product that combines information from the flash drought development tool and subseasonal Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) 3-month forecasts. The latest U.S. Drought Monitor is used as initialization, and the product synthesizes information through a decision-tree process to determine drought tendency categories for the upcoming month. The forecast product started running on April 1, 2019, and updates daily. This tool is used to inform the official forecasts.

ACCESS

Drought.gov includes the Objective Drought Tendency Forecast product on the Drought.gov Outlooks and Forecast maps.

The NOAA/CPC web site has maps of the Objective Drought Tendency Forecast product, which are updated daily.

The raw data is available as GeoTIFF files from NOAA/CPC.

Drought.gov produces image tiles in XYZ format that are usable in GIS mapping applications.