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California Drought & Climate Outlook - Feb 9, 2017

Document Author
Amanda Sheffield, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD
Document File
Document Date
Document Type
Presentations
Document Description

Summary

  • Extended range prediction beyond the two week time frame relies on more slowly changing elements of the climate system that have been connected to our weather and climate – such as ENSO
  • Last year’s warmer ocean conditions, or El Niño conditions, ended earlier this summer
  • La Niña conditions are still present, but weak. The tropical ocean and atmosphere are forecasted to shift to a state of neutral conditions. Models (as of mid-January) are projecting this state to prevail into early summer.
  • Equal chances of above, below, and normal precipitation in out region through Spring.
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Title slide from presentation on California Drought & Climate Outlook, Feb 9, 2017 showing the title, date, author, and NIDIS, NOAA, and California-Nevada Climate Applications Program logos with a photo of a heat map of the Earth as a background
State(s)
California
,
Nevada
DEWS Region(s)
California Nevada
Climate Region(s)
Western Climate Region