Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Midwest Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
The Midwest had its 6th warmest fall on record, with average temperatures across the region ranging from near to slightly above normal in the east and up to 4°F above normal in the west. Fall precipitation for the Midwest totaled 6.65 inches, which was 2.41 inches below normal, or 73 percent of normal.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Northeast Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Autumn was 0.5°F above normal in the Northeast, in the warmest third of all years. It was among the 20 warmest autumns for two of the 12 states. Autumn precipitation was 77% of normal, in the driest third of all years. It was among the 20 driest autumns for two of the 12 states.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Missouri River Basin for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Primarily driven by warmer low temperatures, it was exceptionally hot this fall throughout the entire Basin. A total of 144 counties ranked in the top three warmest falls, while 40 of those ranked as the warmest. Precipitation this fall was hit or miss across the Basin.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for Alaska and Northwestern Canada for September–November 2025, with an outlook for January–March 2026. Dated December 2025.
ECCC, NOAA, and partners created these outlooks to inform the public about recent impacts within their respective regions. Each regional report contains easy-to-understand language, and anyone can access them through the U.S. Drought Portal.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Great Lakes Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Fall air temperatures averaged out to be near or above normal. Fall was drier than normal for most areas. Dry conditions led to greater than average declines on all lakes from the start of September to the end of November. In the period of record (1900-present), Lake Michigan-Huron experienced its 8th largest decline and Lake Erie had its 13th largest decline in water levels for fall.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Gulf of Maine Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Autumn featured near- to above-normal temperatures, ranking among the 10 warmest autumns for several Maritimes sites including Moncton, N.B.; Halifax, N.S.; and Summerside, P.E.I. Below- to near-normal precipitation fueled intense drought conditions that resulted in many impacts, particularly on water resources and agriculture.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southeast and Caribbean Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Temperatures were above average across much of the interior of the Southeast, with some parts of Alabama and Georgia running over 2 degrees F above average for the season. In contrast, temperatures were below average across much of Florida and the Atlantic coastal plain, with some locations running up to 2 degrees F below average. Autumn was very dry across most of the Southeast, with many locations running 4 to 8 inches below average.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Mid-Atlantic Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
Fall temperatures were within about 2°F of normal across almost the entire region. Most areas were drier than normal, with drought or abnormal dryness present throughout the fall. Low water levels led to water restrictions and poor pasture conditions resulted in early livestock sales.
Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Western Region for September–November 2025. Dated December 2025.
NOAA’s National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) and Physical Sciences Laboratory are partnering with the California State Climatologist/California Department of Water Resources, NOAA’s National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental Information, and the California-Nevada Adaptation Program (a NOAA CAP team) on the Sector-Specific Drought Early Warning Outlook – Southern California Pilot.