Temperatures were much below average over the past month, highlighted by an early season freeze/frost that resulted in over 80 daily minimum temperature records in the region from October 18–21. Precipitation was mostly below average, except in areas affected by Hurricane Ian. Ian made multiple landfalls in the Southeast at the end of September as one of the strongest and deadliest hurricanes in the state of Florida. Drought continues to expand in areas that have not received precipitation, in particular in Alabama, Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle. Streamflows are currently near normal or below normal across most of the region, except for parts of the Florida Peninsula. Frost has ended the agricultural growing season in many parts of the region.
Looking ahead: No tropical systems are expected to affect the Southeast in the near term. The next 3 months are expected to follow a typical La Niña pattern with warm and dry conditions across much of the region. There is a low chance of flooding for the interior Southeast river systems over the winter. Drought is expected to persist or develop in Alabama, Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, and the western Carolinas due to limited rainfall and warm temperatures. There is no frost forecasted for the next couple of weeks in most of the region, but it may return in early November
Check out this month’s special presentation, “Putting Recent Climate and Weather Events in Historical Context" to learn more about the Climate Perspectives Tool.