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Regional Drought Update Date
March 22, 2024
Site Section
Drought Status Update

Drought Status Update for the Northeast


DEWS Regions:
Update Status:

NIDIS and its partners will issue future Northeast Drought Status Updates as conditions evolve.

Snow Drought, Winter Warmth, and Spring Fire Danger

Key Points:

  • Moderate Drought (D1) continued for Nantucket and several counties in western New York state. Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions persisted in all or some of 12 western New York counties. 
  • Groundwater levels on Nantucket are recovering, but still are not in the normal range as precipitation is still below normal over the last year or more. 
  • While we are keeping an eye on western New York state and Nantucket, there are some early concerns for northern Maine. Limited snowpack, localized precipitation deficits, February and early March warmth, and an expected continuation of warmer-than-normal conditions warrants increased scrutiny for this area.  
  • With 6 weeks of data in, the Northeast Regional Climate Center’s Snow Survey map for the Northeast depicts no snow or low snow water equivalent (SWE) in the snowpack outside of higher elevations in northern New England and New York’s Adirondacks. 
  • New York state’s burn ban went into effect on March 16.
Current Conditions
Northeast Precipitation Accumulations

Stations

Main Stats
10.2%
of NY is Abnormally Dry (D0) or worse
171,702
estimated NY residents in drought
2 Counties
in NY with primary Drought Disaster Designations

Current Conditions for the Northeast

The first half of March featured record warmth and record amounts of precipitation but record low snowfall. Longer-term precipitation deficits remain in some areas. 

Soil moisture maps currently do not indicate deficits, but with a low snow winter and anticipated warmer weather, these are areas that require close scrutiny over the next few months.   

90-Day Percent of Normal Precipitation

From December 21 to March 19, parts of northern Maine, northern New Hampshire and Vermont, and areas of New York saw precipitation deficits.
90-day percent of normal precipitation for the Northeast from December 21, 2023—March 19, 2024. View additional precipitation maps on the Northeast DEWS Dashboard

Snow Drought: Snow Water Equivalent for March 9–14, 2024 

The Northeast Regional Climate Center's Snow Survey map represents the water equivalent of the snowpack as measured at survey sites around New York and New England. Snow surveys are taken every two weeks from early January to as late as early May, depending on the snowpack. Except for higher elevations in northern New England and New York’s Adirondacks, snow water equivalent (SWE) is low at sites across the Northeast. 

Many sites across the Northeast have 0 to 1 inch of snow water equivalent.
The Snow Survey map represents the water equivalent of the snowpack (SWE, in inches) as measured at survey sites around New York and New England for March 9–14, 2024. Snow surveys are taken every two weeks from early January to as late as early May, depending on the snowpack. Source: Northeast Regional Climate Center.

Accumulated Snowfall Departure from Normal

This chart plots the snowfall departure from normal for selected sites across the region. Across much of the Northeast, there is under an inch of snow water equivalent, with northern portions of the region faring better at 2–5 inches of snow water equivalent. This snowfall deficit will impact groundwater recharge.

Snowfall deficits exist at sites across the Northeast.
Departure from normal snowfall (inches) for the following sites: Rochester Area, NY (blue), Rutland, VT (black), Concord Area, NH (green), Bangor International Airport, ME (orange), Worcester Area, MA (purple), Hartford Area, CT (red), and Providence Area, RI (yellow). Source: Applied Climate Information System (ACIS).

Drought Impacts in the Northeast

For Regional Awareness

  • The first half of March was characterized by record warmth for multiple sites in New York and New England including Syracuse, Albany, Central Park, Hartford, and Caribou. This is a continuation of unusually warm conditions experienced in February as well as for much of this winter.
  • Massachusetts released its new Drought Management Plan in December 2023. 

Consider reporting and sharing your local drought impacts to help inform the U.S. Drought Monitor authors, our neighbors, and drought mitigation response agencies. Comments on snow cover and your photos are greatly appreciated, too.

View an interactive map of CMOR reports. See what your county is reporting and add to the impact dataset.

Looking Ahead: Outlooks for the Northeast 

  • As of March 20, 2024, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) 8-14 day outlooks (valid March 28–April 3) predict increased chances for warmer-than-normal temperatures for most of the region. Chances for above-normal precipitation will counter the potential for drying driven by the warmth.
  • The CPC's 3-4 week outlook maintains increased chances for warmer-than-normal temperatures but sees equal chances for near-normal precipitation. Precipitation in any form will help hold off the emergence of dryness across the region. 

8–14 Day Precipitation Outlook

From March 28–April 3, odds favor above-normal precipitation across the Northeast.
8–14 day precipitation outlook for March 28–April 3, 2024. The green shades represent areas with a greater chance for above-normal precipitation, gray areas represent near-normal precipitation, and brown shades represent areas with a greater chance for below-normal precipitation. Source: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Map from Drought.gov.
  • Looking ahead to early summer, according to  CPC's seasonal temperature outlook, the chances for above-normal temperatures hold for this extended period, raising concern for the drying soils as daylight hours increase.
  • According to  CPC's seasonal precipitation outlook, there are equal chances for near-normal precipitation for most of the region, but the southern New England coastal states have slightly better chances for above-normal precipitation.

April–June 2024 Precipitation Outlook

In the Northeast, there are equal chances of above-, below-, or near-normal precipitation from April to June 2024.
Seasonal (3-month) precipitation outlook for May–June 2024. The green shades represent areas with a greater chance for above-normal precipitation, gray areas represent near-normal precipitation,  brown shades represent areas with a greater chance for below-normal precipitation, and white areas indicate equal chances of above-, below-, or near-normal precipitation. Source: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Map from Drought.gov.

April–June 2024 Temperature Outlook

In the Northeast, odds favor above-normal temperatures for April to June 2024.
Seasonal (3-month) temperature outlook for May–June 2024. The red shades represent areas with a greater chance for above-normal temperatures, gray areas represent near-normal temperatures, blue shades represent areas with a greater chance for below-normal temperatures, and white areas indicate equal chances of above-, below-, or near-normal temperatures. Source: NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Map from Drought.gov.

Additional Resources

Additional Sites for Monitoring Snowfall and Snowpack

Other Resources

Prepared By

Sylvia Reeves
NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), CU Boulder/Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES)

Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano
Northeast Regional Climate Center

Ellen L. Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

Gardner Bent
USGS New England Water Science Center

In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast. 

Special Thanks

This drought status update is issued in partnership between the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Geological Survey, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to communicate concern for drought expansion and intensification within the Northeast U.S. based on recent conditions and the forecasts and outlooks. NIDIS and its partners will issue future drought status updates as conditions evolve.