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Regional Drought Update Date
June 17, 2022
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Drought Status Update

Drought Early Warning Update for the Northeast


DEWS Regions:
Update Status:

NIDIS and its partners will issue future drought updates as conditions evolve.

Recent seasonable temperatures and some rain held drought in check for most of the region except for a small area in central Maine.

For more details, see the Northeast Drought Early Warning System Dashboard.

Key Points

  • Moderate Drought (D1) settled into a portion of Maine’s central coastline and held through parts of southeast New England. Most of the state of Rhode Island is in D1.
  • Abnormally Dry (D0) conditions continued for portions of western New York, Maine, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island.
     
Current Conditions
U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions: Northeast | June 14, 2022

Current U.S. Drought Monitor map for the Northeast Drought Early Warning System with data valid for June 14, 2022. The U.S. Drought Monitor is updated each Thursday to show the location and intensity of drought across the country. 

According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor:

  • Moderate drought (D1) conditions exist in 4.25% of the region.
  • Abnormally dry (D0) conditions exist in 18.11% of the region.
U.S. Drought Monitor Categories
Value Map Hex Color
D0 - Abnormally Dry #ffff00
D1 - Moderate Drought #ffcc99
D2 - Severe Drought #f5ad3d
D3 - Extreme Drought #ff0000
D4 - Exceptional Drought #660000
Main Stats
18.11%
of the Northeast is Abnormally Dry (D0)
4.25%
of the Northeast is in Moderate Drought (D1)

Current Conditions

U.S. Drought Monitor 1-Week Change Map

From June 7 to June 14, parts of central Maine saw a 1-category degradation with improvements elsewhere in the Northeast
U.S. Drought Monitor change map, showing where drought and dryness have improved or worsened from June 7–14, 2022. Source: National Drought Mitigation Center.

 Animation: 2022 U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions in the Northeast

Animation of a time series, map, and statistics showing the progression of drought across the Northeast from January 4 to June 14, 2022, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.
Animation showing the progression of drought across the Northeast in 2022 so far (through June 14, 2022), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Explore more historical drought conditions.

Accumulated Precipitation Departure from Normal

Accumulated precipitation departures from normal for four locations across the Northeast through mid-June 2022
Departure from normal precipitation (inches) for Portland Area, ME (blue), Rochester Area, NY (orange), Boston Area, MA (black), and Providence Area, RI (green). Source: ACIS.

Accumulated Potential Evapotranspiration (PET) Departure from Normal

Accumulated potential evapotranspiration (PET) departure from normal from March 2022 through mid-June 2022 for four locations in the Northeast: New York City (blue), Boston (orange), Buffalo (gray), and Caribou, ME (yellow).
Above-normal PET rates have increased the accumulated departure from normal in Boston, New York City, and Buffalo, while cooler temperatures have brought Caribou back down to near normal for this point in the season. Source: ACIS.

    State-Reported Impacts

    Connecticut

    Maine

    Massachusetts

    Outlooks

    • According to the Climate Prediction Center's 8–14 day outlook (valid June 23–29), odds favor above-normal temperatures in western New York, below-normal temperatures in far-eastern New Hampshire and most of Maine, and near-normal temperatures elsewhere. The entire region has a greater likelihood of near-normal precipitation.
    • The week 3–4 outlook (valid June 25–July 8) favors equal chances of above- or below-normal temperatures and equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation across the Northeast.

    8–14 Day Temperature Outlook

    From June 23-29, odds favor below-normal temperatures for most of Maine, as well as far-eastern New Hampshire. Odds favor above-normal temperatures for western Vermont
    NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8–14 day temperature outlook for the Northeast, showing the probability of above-normal, below-normal, or normal conditions from June 23–29, 2022. Source: Climate Prediction Center via the Northeast DEWS Dashboard.

    8–14 Day Precipitation Outlook

     The entire region has a greater likelihood of near-normal precipitation from June 23-29.
    NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8–14 day precipitation outlook for the Northeast, showing the probability of above-normal, below-normal, or normal conditions from June 23–29, 2022. Source: Climate Prediction Center via the Northeast DEWS Dashboard.

    Temperature Outlook Week 3–4

    From June 25–July8, 2022, odds favor equal chances of below or above normal temperatures across the Northeast.
    NOAA Climate Prediction Center week 3–4 temperature outlook for the Northeast, showing the probability of above-normal or below-normal conditions from June 25–July 8, 2022. Source: Climate Prediction Center.

    Precipitation Outlook Week 3–4

    From June 25–July 8, 2022, most of the Northeast region has equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation.
    NOAA Climate Prediction Center week 3–4 precipitation outlook for the Northeast, showing the probability of above-normal or below-normal conditions from June 25–July 8, 2022. Source: Climate Prediction Center.

    What We Are Watching

    The summer solstice is June 21—next week. The warm season is here. Information sharing is more important than ever for our region. Share drought impacts, and sign up for drought alert emails.

    Heat and drought are solidly linked. Extreme heat has been identified as a driver of flash drought events (rapid onset and intensification of drought) via high evapotranspiration rates drying soils. (See this week’s PET chart.) Extreme heat also plays a role as a stressor for humans and their livestock. Learn more about drought, heat, and agriculture here. Check out NOAA's National Integrated Heat Health Information System's newsletter.

    NIDIS and Northeast DEWS News

    Additional Resources

    Use these sites to keep tabs on drought degradation and improvements in the areas outside of the Northeast DEWS borders:

    Contacts for More Information

    Sylvia Reeves
    Regional Drought Information Coordinator (Northeast DEWS)
    NOAA/CIRES/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)
    Email: sylvia.reeves@noaa.gov

    Ellen L. Mecray
    Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region
    NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
    Email: Ellen.L.Mecray@noaa.gov

    Prepared By

    Sylvia Reeves
    NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), CIRES

    Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano
    Northeast Regional Climate Center

    Ellen Mecray
    Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

    David Hollinger
    USDA Climate Hubs

    Gardner Bent
    USGS New England Water Science Center

    In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast. 

    Special Thanks

    This drought early warning update is issued in partnership between the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), U.S. Geological Survey, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to communicate concern for drought expansion and intensification within the Northeast U.S. based on recent conditions and the forecasts and outlooks. NIDIS and its partners will issue future Drought Early Warning Updates as conditions evolve.