Outlooks & Forecasts
1–7 Day
Through the evening of Monday, July 4, the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center is forecasting dry weather across roughly the western two-thirds of Texas, much of Oklahoma, and most of the Intermountain West.
Some precipitation is forecast across parts of Colorado and the Lower Missouri River Valley. Along the Gulf Coast, widespread precipitation is forecast to occur, with the heaviest amounts centered over parts of the Texas coast, where a tropical disturbance will approach. Heavy rainfall is also possible in coastal portions of Georgia and South Carolina. Elsewhere, pockets of moderate to heavy precipitation may fall across parts of the Southeast, mainly in the southern Appalachians or closer to the coasts.
6–10 Day
From July 6–9, the Climate Prediction Center's outlook favors above-normal precipitation across much of the Upper Midwest, northern Great Plains, and Ohio River Valley. To a lesser extent, above-normal precipitation is also favored in remaining areas of the U.S., except for northern New England, where equal chances for above- or below-normal precipitation exist. Below-normal precipitation is favored in much of Texas and Oklahoma, and across most of the West, with the highest probabilities for below-normal precipitation occurring across northeast Nevada, northern Utah, southern Idaho, and western Wyoming. The forecast slightly favors above-normal precipitation in Washington, and above-normal precipitation is favored in western and central Alaska, while below-normal precipitation is favored in the Alaska Panhandle. A large area of high probabilities for warmer than normal temperatures exists across the central U.S., especially from the Great Plains to the Missouri and Mississippi River valleys. Above-normal temperatures are also favored in parts of the West and Southeast. In Alaska, cooler than normal temperatures are favored in the west, and above-normal temperatures are favored in the east.
This weekly look ahead is modified from the U.S. Drought Monitor's National Drought Summary for June 28, 2022, written by Curtis Riganti (National Drought Mitigation Center) and Richard Tinker (NOAA's Climate Prediction Center).
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Produced by the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, this Quantitative Precipitation Forecast shows the amount of liquid precipitation expected to fall over the next 24 hours. (In the case of snow or ice, the forecast represents the amount of liquid that will be measured when the precipitation is melted.) Precipitation amounts can vary significantly over short distances, especially when thunderstorms occur, so the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast is defined as the expected "areal average" (on a 20 x 20 km grid) in inches. Learn more.
Produced by the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, this Quantitative Precipitation Forecast shows the amount of liquid precipitation expected to fall over the next 7 days. (In the case of snow or ice, the forecast represents the amount of liquid that will be measured when the precipitation is melted.) Precipitation amounts can vary significantly over short distances, especially when thunderstorms occur, so the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast is defined as the expected "areal average" (on a 20 x 20 km grid) in inches. Learn more.
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
0 - 0.01 | #ffffff |
0.01 - 0.1 | #7fff00 |
0.1 - 0.25 | #00cd00 |
0.25 - 0.5 | #008b00 |
0.5 - 0.75 | #104e8b |
0.75 - 1 | #1e90ff |
1 - 1.25 | #00b2ee |
1.25 - 1.5 | #00eeee |
1.5 - 1.75 | #8968cd |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
1.75 - 2 | #912cee |
2 - 2.5 | #8b008b |
2.5 - 3 | #8b0000 |
3 - 4 | #cd0000 |
4 - 5 | #ee4000 |
5 - 7 | #ff7f00 |
7 - 10 | #cd8500 |
10 - 15 | #ffd700 |
15 - 20 | #ffff00 |
20 - | #ffaeb9 |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
0 - 0.01 | #ffffff |
0.01 - 0.1 | #7fff00 |
0.1 - 0.25 | #00cd00 |
0.25 - 0.5 | #008b00 |
0.5 - 0.75 | #104e8b |
0.75 - 1 | #1e90ff |
1 - 1.25 | #00b2ee |
1.25 - 1.5 | #00eeee |
1.5 - 1.75 | #8968cd |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
1.75 - 2 | #912cee |
2 - 2.5 | #8b008b |
2.5 - 3 | #8b0000 |
3 - 4 | #cd0000 |
4 - 5 | #ee4000 |
5 - 7 | #ff7f00 |
7 - 10 | #cd8500 |
10 - 15 | #ffd700 |
15 - 20 | #ffff00 |
20 - | #ffaeb9 |
6–10 Day Temperature & Precipitation Outlooks
The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces precipitation outlooks for the U.S., including 6–10 day, 8–14 day, monthly, and seasonal outlooks. This outlook depicts whether there is a greater probability (percent chance) for above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the next 6 to 10 days. Learn more.
The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces temperature outlooks for the U.S., including 6–10 day, 8–14 day, monthly, and seasonal outlooks. This outlook depicts whether there is a greater probability (percent chance) for above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the next 6 to 10 days. Learn more.
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
33% - 40% | #f0d493 |
40% - 50% | #d8a750 |
50% - 60% | #bb6d33 |
60% - 70% | #9b5031 |
70% - 80% | #934639 |
80% - 90% | #804000 |
90% - 100% | #4f2f2f |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
33% - 40% | #b3d9ab |
40% - 50% | #94cd7e |
50% - 60% | #48ae38 |
60% - 70% | #3a7b5f |
70% - 80% | #008e40 |
80% - 90% | #28553d |
90% - 100% | #285517 |
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
Near-Normal Conditions | #a2a2a2 |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
33% - 40% | #a0c0df |
40% - 50% | #77b5e2 |
50% - 60% | #389fdb |
60% - 70% | #005ca1 |
70% - 80% | #2f406f |
80% - 90% | #221852 |
90% - 100% | #1c1342 |
Range | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
33% - 40% | #e7b168 |
40% - 50% | #e38b4a |
50% - 60% | #dc562f |
60% - 70% | #c72e28 |
70% - 80% | #cc3047 |
80% - 90% | #8a2f38 |
90% - 100% | #622228 |
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
Near-Normal Conditions | #a2a2a2 |
U.S. Drought Outlooks
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's Monthly Drought Outlook is issued at the end of each calendar month and is valid for the upcoming month. The Outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same, or get better over the next 30 days or so. Learn more.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's Seasonal Drought Outlook is issued monthly on the third Thursday of each month. The Outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same, or get better in the next three months. Learn more.
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
Drought persists | #9b634a |
Drought remains but improves | #ded2bc |
Drought removal likely | #b2ad69 |
Drought development likely | #ffde63 |
No drought present | #ffffff |
Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) Forecast
The Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) is an experimental drought monitoring and early warning guidance tool. It examines how anomalous the atmospheric evaporative demand (E0; also known as "the thirst of the atmosphere") is for a given location and across a time period of interest. This experimental subseasonal EDDI forecast shows projected evaporative demand for the next 14 days from the CFS-gridMET dataset at 4-km gridded resolution. Learn more.
The Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) is an experimental drought monitoring and early warning guidance tool. It examines how anomalous the atmospheric evaporative demand (E0; also known as "the thirst of the atmosphere") is for a given location and across a time period of interest. This experimental subseasonal EDDI forecast shows projected evaporative demand for the next 28 days from the CFS-gridMET dataset at 4-km gridded resolution. Learn more.
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
D4 | #730000 |
D3 | #E60000 |
D2 | #FFAA00 |
D1 | #FCD37F |
D0 | #FFFF00 |
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
Near Normal | #ffffff |
W0 | #AAFF55 |
W1 | #01FFFF |
W2 | #00AAFF |
W3 | #0000FF |
W4 | #0000AA |
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
D4 | #730000 |
D3 | #E60000 |
D2 | #FFAA00 |
D1 | #FCD37F |
D0 | #FFFF00 |
Value | Map Hex Color |
---|---|
Near Normal | #ffffff |
W0 | #AAFF55 |
W1 | #01FFFF |
W2 | #00AAFF |
W3 | #0000FF |
W4 | #0000AA |
The U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook predicts whether drought will emerge, stay the same or get better over the next 30 days or so.
The Climate Explorer offers graphs and maps of observed and projected temperature, precipitation, and related climate variables for every county in the contiguous United States, helping people asse
Worldwide predictions for temperature and precipitation from the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University.
NCEI provides precipitation data that can be used to show probability or the amount of precipitation to ameliorate or end a drought at different monthly scales.
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces temperature and precipitation outlooks for the U.S., including 6-10 day, 8-14 day, monthly, and seasonal outlooks.
The National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) produces monthly and seasonal drought outlooks based on Soil Moisture (CAS).