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Document Date
March 23, 2018
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Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southern Region for December 2017 – February 2018.  Dated March 2018. 

Temperatures deviated slightly from normal this winter for most of the Southern Region. Parts of Mississippi, western Texas, and southeastern Louisiana experienced above-normal temperatures. Winter precipitation varied spatially throughout the Southern Region. Parts of Texas and Oklahoma received five percent or less of normal precipitation.

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Document Date
December 1, 2017
Document Description

Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southern Region for September – November 2017.  Dated December 2017. 

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Document Date
November 30, 2017
Document Description

Discussion of La Niña in winter; outlook for precipitation and temperatures; impacts on drought, agriculture, and the economy; how past La Niñas have unfolded.  

NOAA’s Regional Climate Services Program created these Outlooks to inform the public about recent climate impacts within their respective regions. Each regional report contains easy-to-understand language, and anyone can access them through the Drought Portal at https://www.drought.gov/drought/resources/reports

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Document Date
September 26, 2017
Document Description

Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southern Region for June – August 2017.  Dated September 2017.  

Five of six states in the Southern Region experienced cooler than normal temperatures this summer (June–August). This is in direct contrast to this past winter and spring. Precipitation was abundant in southwestern Louisiana and southeastern Texas in August due to Hurricane Harvey. Summer 2017 was the wettest summer on record (since 1895) throughout the entire Southern Region.

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Document Date
June 21, 2017
Document Description

Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southern Region for March – May 2017.  Dated June 2017. 

It was a warmer than normal spring (March-May) for the southern region, with all six states reporting warmer than normal temperatures for March, April, and May collectively. The year 2017, at this point (Jan–May), is the second warmest year on record for the southern region.

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Document Date
March 22, 2017
Document Description

Quarterly Climate Impacts and Outlook for the Southern Region for December 2016 – February 2017.  Dated March 2017. 

It was a warmer than normal winter (December–February) for the southern region, with all six states reporting warmer than normal temperatures in December, January, and February, with many states having their warmest February on record. Precipitation was abundant in southern Texas, and western Oklahoma. In Tennessee, much needed rain fell to help put out some of the Great Smoky Mountain wildfires.

Tennessee

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Stream flowing through woods in Tennessee.
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Drought Resources for Tennessee
Resources Section

Stay Informed: Local Drought Updates

Drought Alert Emails
Get email updates when U.S. Drought Monitor conditions change for your location or a new drought outlook is released.

Southeast DEWS Drought Email List
Get regional drought status updates right to your inbox, as well as drought news, webinars, and other events for the Southeast.

Southeast Climate Monthly Webinars
This webinar series provides the Southeast region with timely information on current and developing climate conditions, such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic events like El Niño and La Niña. 

Get Involved: Submit Local Drought Impacts

Drought in your area? Tell us how drought is impacting your community by submitting a condition monitoring report. Your submissions help us better understand how drought is affecting local conditions.

D3 Graph

U.S. Drought Monitor

The U.S. Drought Monitor (2000–present) depicts the location and intensity of drought across the country. Every Thursday, authors from NOAA, USDA, and the National Drought Mitigation Center produce a new map based on their assessments of the best available data and input from local observers. The map uses five categories: Abnormally Dry (D0), showing areas that may be going into or are coming out of drought, and four levels of drought (D1–D4). Learn more.

State Bridge
Statistics
3.4 Million

Tennessee residents in areas of drought, according to the Drought Monitor

Increase of
11.0%
since last week
22nd

driest February on record (since 1895)

2.69 in.
total precipitation
Decrease of
1.76 in.
from normal
13th

driest January—February on record (since 1895)

5.78 in.
total precipitation
Decrease of
3.56 in.
from normal
Current Conditions

Tennessee Current Conditions

A number of physical indicators are important for monitoring drought, such as precipitation & temperature, water supply (e.g., streamflow, reservoirs), and soil moisture. Learn more about monitoring drought.

Tennessee Precipitation Conditions

Inches of Precipitation
Precipitation Shown as a Percentage of Normal Conditions
100%
Precipitation Shown as a Percentage of Normal Conditions
100%

Tennessee Temperature Conditions

Maximum Temperature (°F)
60
Departure from Normal Max Temperature (°F)
0
Departure from Normal Max Temperature (°F)
0

Tennessee Streamflow Conditions

Streamflow Conditions

Tennessee Soil Moisture Conditions

0–100 cm Soil Moisture Percentile
70
100
Soil Moisture Anomaly
0%

Future Conditions

Outlooks & Forecasts for Tennessee

Predicting drought in Tennessee depends on the ability to forecast precipitation and temperature within the context of complex climate interactions. View more outlooks & forecasts.

Future Precipitation & Temperature Conditions

Predicted Inches of Precipitation
1.75
Probability of Below-Normal Precipitation
100%
Probability of Above-Normal Precipitation
100%
Probability of Below-Normal Temperatures
100%
Probability of Above-Normal Temperatures
100%

Drought Outlooks for Tennessee

Drought Is Predicted To...
Drought Is Predicted To...

Main Maps
Current Tennessee Drought Maps

Drought & Dryness Categories
% of TN
26.9
50.2
18.7
0.6
0.0
69.4
Drought Change Since Last Week
Dry Conditions
Wet Conditions
Dry Conditions
Wet Conditions

Experimental
Experimental
Planning & Response
Drought in Tennessee

The Southeast region generally receives substantial precipitation and is often considered water-rich. However, droughts are not uncommon, and the Southeast has a long history of multi-year droughts, including the record-breaking droughts of 2006–2008 and 2010–2012. Tennessee also experienced a high impact drought in 2016 that was a primary factor in several major wildfires, including the Gatlinburg wildfires that resulted in loss of life and widespread infrastructure damage. Recent droughts occurring in late summer and early fall have caused far-reaching impacts on agriculture, livestock management, natural habitat, and water availability for municipalities, along with economic and industrial issues (e.g., when Mississippi River levels at Memphis were reduced to record lows in 2022 and again in 2023).

Drought conditions can also develop rapidly in the Southeast, especially when the lack of rain and high temperatures combine to quickly increase the loss of water from the landscape via evapotranspiration. There is increased regional awareness of how these rapid-onset droughts, sometimes referred to as "flash droughts," can cause significant agricultural economic impacts. Drought impacts are expected to increase in the Southeast due to a combination of higher temperatures, increased rainfall variability, and changes in land use associated with population growth, which will further affect water resource recharge and amplify competing water demands in the region.

NOAA’s National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) launched the Southeast Drought Early Warning System (DEWS) in 2020, which includes Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. The Southeast DEWS is a network of regional and national partners that share information and coordinate actions to help communities in the region cope with drought.

Reach out to Elliot Wickham, the Regional Drought Coordinator for this region, for more information, or sign up for the Southeast DEWS newsletter.

Drought Resources

Tennessee State Drought Resources

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Historical Drought Conditions in Tennessee

Drought is a normal climate pattern that has occurred in varying degrees of length, severity, and size throughout history. Below, you can look back at past drought conditions for Tennessee according to 3 historical drought indices. The U.S. Drought Monitor is a weekly map that shows the location and intensity of drought across the country since 2000. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a monthly depiction of drought based on precipitation (with data going back to 1895). And the paleoclimate data uses tree-ring reconstructions to estimate drought conditions before we had widespread instrumental records, going back to the year 0 for some parts of the U.S. View more historical conditions.

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